Avoiding Stupidity Beats Chasing Brilliance

Avoiding Stupidity Beats Chasing Brilliance
Photo by Paul Steuber / Unsplash

We're addicted to genius. We obsess over the wunderkind solving quantum equations at nine, the dropout who IPOs from his garage, the hedge fund oracle who posts a return so obscene it looks like a typo. Brilliance is seductive. But it's also unreliable. And more often than not, it's irrelevant.

You don’t win by being brilliant. You win by not being stupid.

It doesn't take a rocket scientist to blow up a company, a career, a fortune. It takes carelessness, ego, shortcuts, and wishful thinking.

You don’t need to outwit the market if you don’t dump your life savings into the latest bullshit. You don’t need to be a genius innovator if you’re not tripping over your own ego every step of the way. You don’t have to predict the future if you’re not busy sabotaging the present.

People don’t fail because they lack genius. They fail because they ignore obvious risks. Because they gamble instead of plan. Because they chase dopamine hits and call it strategy. Because they overcomplicate, overpromise, and overreact. Because they know better and still touch the stove.

The edge isn’t brilliance. It’s discipline. Humility. Boredom. It’s knowing that playing defense keeps you in the game longer than trying to score a touchdown every damn play.

Wins stack slowly. Losses crash all at once. The real victories are the mistakes you never make, the disasters you dodge and the deals you walk away from. The late-night email you delete instead of send. It doesn’t feel glamorous; it feels like saying no, like biting your tongue, like taking the dull, adult option instead of the sexy, impulsive one.

You win by staying in the game. You win by surviving the chaos long enough to let your advantages matter. Not by betting the farm and praying. Not by chasing headlines. Not by trying to impress the crowd.

In chess, amateurs fantasize about five-move checkmates. Masters quietly avoid blunders. It’s not that they’re not brilliant. It’s that they know brilliance doesn’t save you from a single catastrophic lapse.

The world doesn’t reward brilliance as much as it punishes stupidity. Every dumb move is a landmine, and every one you avoid is compound interest on your survival. Avoiding stupidity isn’t cautious. It’s strategic. It’s what winners do.

Chasing genius is for show.

Avoiding disaster is for keeps.

Brilliance is overrated. Restraint wins.

🍕
My goal this year is to make Westenberg and my news site, The Index, my full-time job. The pendulum has swung pretty far back against progressive writers, particularly trans creators, but I'm not going anywhere.

I'm trying to write as much as I can to balance out a world on fire. Your subscription directly supports permissionless publishing and helps create a sustainable model for writing and journalism that answers to readers, not advertisers or gatekeepers.

Please consider signing up for a paid monthly or annual membership to support my writing and independent/sovereign publishing.

Read more